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Mercedes Pascual

InstitutionUniversity of Chicago
DepartmentEcology and Evolution
AddressChicago IL 60637
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    Collapse Overview 

    Collapse Biography 
    Collapse education and training
    Universidad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, Buenos Aires, ArgentinaLicenciatura12/1985Biology
    New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, NMM.Sc.06/1989Mathematics
    WHOI and MIT, Woods Hole, MAPhD07/1995Biological Oceanography
    Princeton University, Princeton, NJPostoctoral08/1997Theoretical Ecology
    Collapse awards and honors
    1995 - 1997US Department of Energy Alexander Hollaender Distinguished Postdoctoral Fellowship, Princeton University
    1999 - 2008James S. McDonnell Centennial Fellowship in Global and Complex Systems, University of Michigan
    2003Discover Magazine: Top 50 Women in Science
    2003Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science
    2004Faculty Recognition Award, University of Michigan
    2008Collegiate Professor, University of Michigan
    2008Howard Hugues Medical Investigator, University of Michigan
    2014Robert H. MacArthur Award of the Ecological Society of America
    2015Fellow of the Ecological Society of America
    2019American Academy of Arts and Sciences

    Collapse Research 
    Collapse research activities and funding
    R01AI149779     (PASCUAL, MERCEDES)Jul 19, 2019 - Jun 30, 2024
    Temporal strain structure and response to interventions in a high endemicity region of Plasmodium falciparum
    Role: Principal Investigator

    R01TW009670     (PASCUAL, MERCEDES)Sep 28, 2013 - Aug 31, 2018
    The impact of seasonality and vector control on the population structure of Plasmodium falciparum
    Role: Principal Investigator

    Collapse Bibliographic 
    Collapse selected publications
    Publications listed below are automatically derived from MEDLINE/PubMed and other sources, which might result in incorrect or missing publications. Faculty can login to make corrections and additions.
    Newest   |   Oldest   |   Most Cited   |   Most Discussed   |   Timeline   |   Field Summary   |   Plain Text
    PMC Citations indicate the number of times the publication was cited by articles in PubMed Central, and the Altmetric score represents citations in news articles and social media. (Note that publications are often cited in additional ways that are not shown here.) Fields are based on how the National Library of Medicine (NLM) classifies the publication's journal and might not represent the specific topic of the publication. Translation tags are based on the publication type and the MeSH terms NLM assigns to the publication. Some publications (especially newer ones and publications not in PubMed) might not yet be assigned Field or Translation tags.) Click a Field or Translation tag to filter the publications.
    1. Labb? F, He Q, Zhan Q, Tiedje KE, Argyropoulos DC, Tan MH, Ghansah A, Day KP, Pascual M. Neutral vs. non-neutral genetic footprints of Plasmodium falciparum multiclonal infections. PLoS Comput Biol. 2023 01; 19(1):e1010816. PMID: 36595546; PMCID: PMC9838855.
      Citations: 1     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsCells
    2. Tiedje KE, Oduro AR, Bangre O, Amenga-Etego L, Dadzie SK, Appawu MA, Frempong K, Asoala V, Ruybal-P?santez S, Narh CA, Deed SL, Argyropoulos DC, Ghansah A, Agyei SA, Segbaya S, Desewu K, Williams I, Simpson JA, Malm K, Pascual M, Koram KA, Day KP. Indoor residual spraying with a non-pyrethroid insecticide reduces the reservoir of Plasmodium falciparum in a high-transmission area in northern Ghana. PLOS Glob Public Health. 2022; 2(5). PMID: 35600674; PMCID: PMC9121889.
      Citations: 2     
    3. Romeo-Aznar V, Picinini Freitas L, Gon?alves Cruz O, King AA, Pascual M. Author Correction: Fine-scale heterogeneity in population density predicts wave dynamics in dengue epidemics. Nat Commun. 2022 Mar 11; 13(1):1404. PMID: 35277517; PMCID: PMC8917157.
      Citations:    Fields:    
    4. Romeo-Aznar V, Picinini Freitas L, Gon?alves Cruz O, King AA, Pascual M. Fine-scale heterogeneity in population density predicts wave dynamics in dengue epidemics. Nat Commun. 2022 02 22; 13(1):996. PMID: 35194017; PMCID: PMC8864019.
      Citations: 2     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    5. Ruybal-Pes?ntez S, Tiedje KE, Pilosof S, Tonkin-Hill G, He Q, Rask TS, Amenga-Etego L, Oduro AR, Koram KA, Pascual M, Day KP. Age-specific patterns of DBLa var diversity can explain why residents of high malaria transmission areas remain susceptible to Plasmodium falciparum blood stage infection throughout life. Int J Parasitol. 2022 Oct; 52(11):721-731. PMID: 35093396; PMCID: PMC9339046.
      Citations: 4     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimals
    6. Argyropoulos DC, Ruybal-Pes?ntez S, Deed SL, Oduro AR, Dadzie SK, Appawu MA, Asoala V, Pascual M, Koram KA, Day KP, Tiedje KE. The impact of indoor residual spraying on Plasmodium falciparum microsatellite variation in an area of high seasonal malaria transmission in Ghana, West Africa. Mol Ecol. 2021 08; 30(16):3974-3992. PMID: 34143538; PMCID: PMC8456823.
      Citations: 2     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsCellsPHPublic Health
    7. He Q, Pilosof S, Tiedje KE, Day KP, Pascual M. Frequency-Dependent Competition Between Strains Imparts Persistence to Perturbations in a Model of Plasmodium falciparum Malaria Transmission. Front Ecol Evol. 2021; 9. PMID: 35433714; PMCID: PMC9012452.
      Citations: 3     
    8. Pascual M, Baeza A. What happens when forests fall? Elife. 2021 04 06; 10. PMID: 33821799; PMCID: PMC8024005.
      Citations: 1     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    9. Rod? X, Martinez PP, Siraj A, Pascual M. Malaria trends in Ethiopian highlands track the 2000 'slowdown' in global warming. Nat Commun. 2021 03 10; 12(1):1555. PMID: 33692343; PMCID: PMC7946882.
      Citations: 3     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimals
    10. Subramanian R, He Q, Pascual M. Quantifying asymptomatic infection and transmission of COVID-19 in New York City using observed cases, serology, and testing capacity. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021 03 02; 118(9). PMID: 33571106; PMCID: PMC7936345.
      Citations: 88     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    11. He Q, Pascual M. An antigenic diversification threshold for falciparum malaria transmission at high endemicity. PLoS Comput Biol. 2021 02; 17(2):e1008729. PMID: 33606682; PMCID: PMC7928509.
      Citations: 3     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsPHPublic Health
    12. Pilosof S, Alcal?-Corona SA, Wang T, Kim T, Maslov S, Whitaker R, Pascual M. The network structure and eco-evolutionary dynamics of CRISPR-induced immune diversification. Nat Ecol Evol. 2020 12; 4(12):1650-1660. PMID: 33077929.
      Citations: 6     Fields:    Translation:Cells
    13. Subramanian R, Romeo-Aznar V, Ionides E, Code?o CT, Pascual M. Predicting re-emergence times of dengue epidemics at low reproductive numbers: DENV1 in Rio de Janeiro, 1986-1990. J R Soc Interface. 2020 06; 17(167):20200273. PMID: 32574544; PMCID: PMC7328382.
      Citations: 1     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    14. Martinez PP, Mahmud AS, Yunus M, Faruque ASG, Ahmed T, Pascual M, Buckee CO. Tube Well Use as Protection Against Rotavirus Infection During the Monsoons in an Urban Setting. J Infect Dis. 2020 01 02; 221(2):238-242. PMID: 31776559; PMCID: PMC6936003.
      Citations: 1     Fields:    Translation:HumansCells
    15. Castro MC, Baeza A, Code?o CT, Cucunub? ZM, Dal'Asta AP, De Leo GA, Dobson AP, Carrasco-Escobar G, Lana RM, Lowe R, Monteiro AMV, Pascual M, Santos-Vega M. Development, environmental degradation, and disease spread in the Brazilian Amazon. PLoS Biol. 2019 11; 17(11):e3000526. PMID: 31730640; PMCID: PMC6881077.
      Citations: 20     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    16. Pilosof S, He Q, Tiedje KE, Ruybal-Pes?ntez S, Day KP, Pascual M. Competition for hosts modulates vast antigenic diversity to generate persistent strain structure in Plasmodium falciparum. PLoS Biol. 2019 06; 17(6):e3000336. PMID: 31233490; PMCID: PMC6611651.
      Citations: 11     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimals
    17. Romeo-Aznar V, Paul R, Telle O, Pascual M. Mosquito-borne transmission in urban landscapes: the missing link between vector abundance and human density. Proc Biol Sci. 2018 08 15; 285(1884). PMID: 30111594; PMCID: PMC6111166.
      Citations: 17     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsPHPublic Health
    18. Rorick MM, Baskerville EB, Rask TS, Day KP, Pascual M. Identifying functional groups among the diverse, recombining antigenic var genes of the malaria parasite Plasmodium falciparum from a local community in Ghana. PLoS Comput Biol. 2018 06; 14(6):e1006174. PMID: 29897905; PMCID: PMC6016947.
      Citations: 1     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsCells
    19. He Q, Pilosof S, Tiedje KE, Ruybal-Pes?ntez S, Artzy-Randrup Y, Baskerville EB, Day KP, Pascual M. Networks of genetic similarity reveal non-neutral processes shape strain structure in Plasmodium falciparum. Nat Commun. 2018 05 08; 9(1):1817. PMID: 29739937; PMCID: PMC5940794.
      Citations: 11     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsPHPublic Health
    20. Rorick MM, Artzy-Randrup Y, Ruybal-Pes?ntez S, Tiedje KE, Rask TS, Oduro A, Ghansah A, Koram K, Day KP, Pascual M. Signatures of competition and strain structure within the major blood-stage antigen of Plasmodium falciparum in a local community in Ghana. Ecol Evol. 2018 Apr; 8(7):3574-3588. PMID: 29686839; PMCID: PMC5901166.
      Citations: 3     
    21. Du X, Pascual M. Incidence Prediction for the 2017-2018 Influenza Season in the United States with an Evolution-informed Model. PLoS Curr. 2018 Jan 17; 10. PMID: 29588875; PMCID: PMC5843489.
      Citations: 1     
    22. Michalska-Smith MJ, Sander EL, Pascual M, Allesina S. Understanding the role of parasites in food webs using the group model. J Anim Ecol. 2018 05; 87(3):790-800. PMID: 29119557.
      Citations: 1     Fields:    Translation:Animals
    23. Du X, King AA, Woods RJ, Pascual M. Evolution-informed forecasting of seasonal influenza A (H3N2). Sci Transl Med. 2017 Oct 25; 9(413). PMID: 29070700; PMCID: PMC5805486.
      Citations: 19     Fields:    Translation:HumansCells
    24. Tiedje KE, Oduro AR, Agongo G, Anyorigiya T, Azongo D, Awine T, Ghansah A, Pascual M, Koram KA, Day KP. Seasonal Variation in the Epidemiology of Asymptomatic Plasmodium falciparum Infections across Two Catchment Areas in Bongo District, Ghana. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2017 Jul; 97(1):199-212. PMID: 28719306; PMCID: PMC5508908.
      Citations: 17     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimals
    25. Day KP, Artzy-Randrup Y, Tiedje KE, Rougeron V, Chen DS, Rask TS, Rorick MM, Migot-Nabias F, Deloron P, Luty AJF, Pascual M. Evidence of strain structure in Plasmodium falciparum var gene repertoires in children from Gabon, West Africa. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2017 05 16; 114(20):E4103-E4111. PMID: 28461509; PMCID: PMC5441825.
      Citations: 19     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimals
    26. Pilosof S, Porter MA, Pascual M, K?fi S. The multilayer nature of ecological networks. Nat Ecol Evol. 2017 Mar 23; 1(4):101. PMID: 28812678.
      Citations: 72     Fields:    
    27. Baeza A, Santos-Vega M, Dobson AP, Pascual M. The rise and fall of malaria under land-use change in frontier regions. Nat Ecol Evol. 2017 Mar 20; 1(5):108. PMID: 28812707.
      Citations: 20     Fields:    
    28. Martinez PP, Reiner RC, Cash BA, Rod? X, Shahjahan Mondal M, Roy M, Yunus M, Faruque AS, Huq S, King AA, Pascual M. Cholera forecast for Dhaka, Bangladesh, with the 2015-2016 El Ni?o: Lessons learned. PLoS One. 2017; 12(3):e0172355. PMID: 28253325; PMCID: PMC5333828.
      Citations: 6     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    29. Santos-Vega M, Bouma MJ, Kohli V, Pascual M. Population Density, Climate Variables and Poverty Synergistically Structure Spatial Risk in Urban Malaria in India. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2016 12; 10(12):e0005155. PMID: 27906962; PMCID: PMC5131912.
      Citations: 17     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimals
    30. Perez-Saez J, King AA, Rinaldo A, Yunus M, Faruque ASG, Pascual M. Climate-driven endemic cholera is modulated by human mobility in a megacity. Adv Water Resour. 2017 Oct; 108:367-376. PMID: 29081572; PMCID: PMC5654324.
      Citations: 4     
    31. Santos-Vega M, Martinez PP, Pascual M. Climate forcing and infectious disease transmission in urban landscapes: integrating demographic and socioeconomic heterogeneity. Ann N Y Acad Sci. 2016 10; 1382(1):44-55. PMID: 27681053.
      Citations: 5     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    32. Martinez PP, King AA, Yunus M, Faruque AS, Pascual M. Differential and enhanced response to climate forcing in diarrheal disease due to rotavirus across a megacity of the developing world. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016 Apr 12; 113(15):4092-7. PMID: 27035949; PMCID: PMC4839397.
      Citations: 24     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    33. Golubski AJ, Westlund EE, Vandermeer J, Pascual M. Ecological Networks over the Edge: Hypergraph Trait-Mediated Indirect Interaction (TMII) Structure. Trends Ecol Evol. 2016 05; 31(5):344-354. PMID: 26924738.
      Citations: 8     Fields:    
    34. Siraj AS, Bouma MJ, Santos-Vega M, Yeshiwondim AK, Rothman DS, Yadeta D, Sutton PC, Pascual M. Temperature and population density determine reservoir regions of seasonal persistence in highland malaria. Proc Biol Sci. 2015 12 07; 282(1820):20151383. PMID: 26631558; PMCID: PMC4685772.
      Citations: 10     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsPHPublic Health
    35. Roy M, Bouma M, Dhiman RC, Pascual M. Predictability of epidemic malaria under non-stationary conditions with process-based models combining epidemiological updates and climate variability. Malar J. 2015 Oct 26; 14:419. PMID: 26502881; PMCID: PMC4623260.
      Citations: 9     Fields:    Translation:PHPublic Health
    36. Pascual M. Climate and Population Immunity in Malaria Dynamics: Harnessing Information from Endemicity Gradients. Trends Parasitol. 2015 Nov; 31(11):532-534. PMID: 26422773.
      Citations: 2     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    37. D'Souza K, Epureanu BI, Pascual M. Forecasting Bifurcations from Large Perturbation Recoveries in Feedback Ecosystems. PLoS One. 2015; 10(9):e0137779. PMID: 26356503; PMCID: PMC4565629.
      Citations: 7     Fields:    
    38. Artzy-Randrup Y, Dobson AP, Pascual M. Synergistic and antagonistic interactions between bednets and vaccines in the control of malaria. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2015 Mar 10; 112(10):3014-9. PMID: 25605894; PMCID: PMC4364214.
      Citations: 10     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    39. Zinder D, Bedford T, Baskerville EB, Woods RJ, Roy M, Pascual M. Seasonality in the migration and establishment of H3N2 Influenza lineages with epidemic growth and decline. BMC Evol Biol. 2014 12 24; 14:272. PMID: 25539729; PMCID: PMC4316805.
      Citations: 8     Fields:    Translation:HumansCells
    40. Cash BA, Rod? X, Emch M, Yunus M, Faruque AS, Pascual M. Cholera and shigellosis: different epidemiology but similar responses to climate variability. PLoS One. 2014; 9(9):e107223. PMID: 25229494; PMCID: PMC4168003.
      Citations: 12     Fields:    Translation:HumansCellsPHPublic Health
    41. Roy M, Zinck RD, Bouma MJ, Pascual M. Epidemic cholera spreads like wildfire. Sci Rep. 2014 Jan 15; 4:3710. PMID: 24424273; PMCID: PMC3892719.
      Citations: 10     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    42. Rorick MM, Rask TS, Baskerville EB, Day KP, Pascual M. Homology blocks of Plasmodium falciparum var genes and clinically distinct forms of severe malaria in a local population. BMC Microbiol. 2013 Nov 06; 13:244. PMID: 24192078; PMCID: PMC3827005.
      Citations: 13     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimals
    43. Baeza A, Bouma MJ, Dhiman RC, Baskerville EB, Ceccato P, Yadav RS, Pascual M. Long-lasting transition toward sustainable elimination of desert malaria under irrigation development. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2013 Sep 10; 110(37):15157-62. PMID: 23942131; PMCID: PMC3773790.
      Citations: 12     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsPHPublic Health
    44. Rorick MM, Pascual M. Influenza evolution navigates stability valleys. Elife. 2013 May 14; 2:e00842. PMID: 23682318; PMCID: PMC3654458.
      Citations: 1     Fields:    Translation:HumansCells
    45. Baeza A, Bouma MJ, Dhiman R, Pascual M. Malaria control under unstable dynamics: reactive vs. climate-based strategies. Acta Trop. 2014 Jan; 129:42-51. PMID: 23567551.
      Citations: 7     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsPHPublic Health
    46. Roy M, Bouma MJ, Ionides EL, Dhiman RC, Pascual M. The potential elimination of Plasmodium vivax malaria by relapse treatment: insights from a transmission model and surveillance data from NW India. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2013; 7(1):e1979. PMID: 23326611; PMCID: PMC3542148.
      Citations: 40     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    47. Zinder D, Bedford T, Gupta S, Pascual M. The roles of competition and mutation in shaping antigenic and genetic diversity in influenza. PLoS Pathog. 2013 Jan; 9(1):e1003104. PMID: 23300455; PMCID: PMC3536651.
      Citations: 33     Fields:    Translation:HumansCells
    48. Artzy-Randrup Y, Rorick MM, Day K, Chen D, Dobson AP, Pascual M. Population structuring of multi-copy, antigen-encoding genes in Plasmodium falciparum. Elife. 2012 Dec 18; 1:e00093. PMID: 23251784; PMCID: PMC3524794.
      Citations: 24     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimals
    49. Bedford T, Rambaut A, Pascual M. Canalization of the evolutionary trajectory of the human influenza virus. BMC Biol. 2012 Apr 30; 10:38. PMID: 22546494; PMCID: PMC3373370.
      Citations: 45     Fields:    Translation:HumansCells
    50. Reiner RC, King AA, Emch M, Yunus M, Faruque AS, Pascual M. Highly localized sensitivity to climate forcing drives endemic cholera in a megacity. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2012 Feb 07; 109(6):2033-6. PMID: 22308325; PMCID: PMC3277579.
      Citations: 32     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    51. Baskerville EB, Dobson AP, Bedford T, Allesina S, Anderson TM, Pascual M. Spatial guilds in the Serengeti food web revealed by a Bayesian group model. PLoS Comput Biol. 2011 Dec; 7(12):e1002321. PMID: 22219719; PMCID: PMC3248389.
      Citations: 14     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimals
    52. Bouma MJ, Baeza A, terVeen A, Pascual M. Global malaria maps and climate change: a focus on East African highlands. Trends Parasitol. 2011 Oct; 27(10):421-2. PMID: 21873114.
      Citations: 6     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimals
    53. Bedford T, Cobey S, Pascual M. Strength and tempo of selection revealed in viral gene genealogies. BMC Evol Biol. 2011 Jul 25; 11:220. PMID: 21787390; PMCID: PMC3199772.
      Citations: 41     Fields:    Translation:HumansCells
    54. Baeza A, Bouma MJ, Dobson AP, Dhiman R, Srivastava HC, Pascual M. Climate forcing and desert malaria: the effect of irrigation. Malar J. 2011 Jul 14; 10:190. PMID: 21756317; PMCID: PMC3155970.
      Citations: 17     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    55. Pascual M, Roy M, Laneri K. Simple models for complex systems: exploiting the relationship between local and global densities. Theor Ecol. 2011; 4:211-222. PMID: 25540675; PMCID: PMC4270435.
      Citations: 1     
    56. K?fi S, Rietkerk M, Roy M, Franc A, de Ruiter PC, Pascual M. Robust scaling in ecosystems and the meltdown of patch size distributions before extinction. Ecol Lett. 2011 Jan; 14(1):29-35. PMID: 21070563.
      Citations: 15     Fields:    
    57. Alonso D, Bouma MJ, Pascual M. Epidemic malaria and warmer temperatures in recent decades in an East African highland. Proc Biol Sci. 2011 Jun 07; 278(1712):1661-9. PMID: 21068045; PMCID: PMC3081772.
      Citations: 56     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsPHPublic Health
    58. Artzy-Randrup Y, Alonso D, Pascual M. Transmission intensity and drug resistance in malaria population dynamics: implications for climate change. PLoS One. 2010 Oct 26; 5(10):e13588. PMID: 21060886; PMCID: PMC2965653.
      Citations: 20     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    59. Laneri K, Bhadra A, Ionides EL, Bouma M, Dhiman RC, Yadav RS, Pascual M. Forcing versus feedback: epidemic malaria and monsoon rains in northwest India. PLoS Comput Biol. 2010 Sep 02; 6(9):e1000898. PMID: 20824122; PMCID: PMC2932675.
      Citations: 55     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsPHPublic Health
    60. Bedford T, Cobey S, Beerli P, Pascual M. Global migration dynamics underlie evolution and persistence of human influenza A (H3N2). PLoS Pathog. 2010 May 27; 6(5):e1000918. PMID: 20523898; PMCID: PMC2877742.
      Citations: 93     Fields:    Translation:HumansCells
    61. Cobey S, Pascual M, Dieckmann U. Ecological factors driving the long-term evolution of influenza's host range. Proc Biol Sci. 2010 Sep 22; 277(1695):2803-10. PMID: 20444714; PMCID: PMC2981989.
      Citations: 2     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsCells
    62. Ruiz-Moreno D, Pascual M, Emch M, Yunus M. Spatial clustering in the spatio-temporal dynamics of endemic cholera. BMC Infect Dis. 2010 Mar 06; 10:51. PMID: 20205935; PMCID: PMC2846945.
      Citations: 16     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    63. Warren CP, Pascual M, Lafferty KD, Kuris AM. The inverse niche model for food webs with parasites. Theor Ecol. 2010; 3:285-294. PMID: 25540673; PMCID: PMC4270433.
      Citations: 6     
    64. Allesina S, Pascual M. Googling food webs: can an eigenvector measure species' importance for coextinctions? PLoS Comput Biol. 2009 Sep; 5(9):e1000494. PMID: 19730676; PMCID: PMC2725316.
      Citations: 38     Fields:    Translation:Animals
    65. Chaves LF, Kaneko A, Pascual M. Random, top-down, or bottom-up coexistence of parasites: malaria population dynamics in multi-parasitic settings. Ecology. 2009 Sep; 90(9):2414-25. PMID: 19769120.
      Citations: 9     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimals
    66. Pascual M, Dobson AP, Bouma MJ. Underestimating malaria risk under variable temperatures. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2009 Aug 18; 106(33):13645-6. PMID: 19706496; PMCID: PMC2728947.
      Citations: 19     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsPHPublic Health
    67. Dobson A, Allesina S, Lafferty K, Pascual M. The assembly, collapse and restoration of food webs. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2009 Jun 27; 364(1524):1803-6. PMID: 19451129; PMCID: PMC2685433.
      Citations: 4     Fields:    Translation:Animals
    68. Allesina S, Bodini A, Pascual M. Functional links and robustness in food webs. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2009 Jun 27; 364(1524):1701-9. PMID: 19451121; PMCID: PMC2685419.
      Citations: 14     Fields:    
    69. Koelle K, Kamradt M, Pascual M. Understanding the dynamics of rapidly evolving pathogens through modeling the tempo of antigenic change: influenza as a case study. Epidemics. 2009 Jun; 1(2):129-37. PMID: 21352760.
      Citations: 16     Fields:    Translation:HumansCells
    70. Allesina S, Pascual M. Food web models: a plea for groups. Ecol Lett. 2009 Jul; 12(7):652-62. PMID: 19453619.
      Citations: 28     Fields:    Translation:Animals
    71. Pascual M, Bouma MJ. Do rising temperatures matter? Ecology. 2009 Apr; 90(4):906-12. PMID: 19449684.
      Citations: 29     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimals
    72. King AA, Ionides EL, Pascual M, Bouma MJ. Inapparent infections and cholera dynamics. Nature. 2008 Aug 14; 454(7206):877-80. PMID: 18704085.
      Citations: 134     Fields:    Translation:HumansCells
    73. Chaves LF, Kaneko A, Taleo G, Pascual M, Wilson ML. Malaria transmission pattern resilience to climatic variability is mediated by insecticide-treated nets. Malar J. 2008 Jun 02; 7:100. PMID: 18518983; PMCID: PMC2443810.
      Citations: 19     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsPHPublic Health
    74. Lafferty KD, Allesina S, Arim M, Briggs CJ, De Leo G, Dobson AP, Dunne JA, Johnson PT, Kuris AM, Marcogliese DJ, Martinez ND, Memmott J, Marquet PA, McLaughlin JP, Mordecai EA, Pascual M, Poulin R, Thieltges DW. Parasites in food webs: the ultimate missing links. Ecol Lett. 2008 Jun; 11(6):533-46. PMID: 18462196; PMCID: PMC2408649.
      Citations: 192     Fields:    Translation:AnimalsPHPublic Health
    75. Allesina S, Alonso D, Pascual M. A general model for food web structure. Science. 2008 May 02; 320(5876):658-61. PMID: 18451301.
      Citations: 57     Fields:    
    76. Code?o CT, Lele S, Pascual M, Bouma M, Ko AI. A stochastic model for ecological systems with strong nonlinear response to environmental drivers: application to two water-borne diseases. J R Soc Interface. 2008 Feb 06; 5(19):247-52. PMID: 17698477; PMCID: PMC2705977.
      Citations: 13     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsPHPublic Health
    77. Chaves LF, Cohen JM, Pascual M, Wilson ML. Social exclusion modifies climate and deforestation impacts on a vector-borne disease. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2008 Feb 06; 2(1):e176. PMID: 18265876; PMCID: PMC2238711.
      Citations: 55     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsPHPublic Health
    78. Chaves LF, Pascual M. Comparing models for early warning systems of neglected tropical diseases. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2007 Oct 22; 1(1):e33. PMID: 17989780; PMCID: PMC2041810.
      Citations: 38     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimals
    79. Alonso D, McKane AJ, Pascual M. Stochastic amplification in epidemics. J R Soc Interface. 2007 Jun 22; 4(14):575-82. PMID: 17251128; PMCID: PMC2373404.
      Citations: 69     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    80. Chaves LF, Hernandez MJ, Dobson AP, Pascual M. Sources and sinks: revisiting the criteria for identifying reservoirs for American cutaneous leishmaniasis. Trends Parasitol. 2007 Jul; 23(7):311-6. PMID: 17524806.
      Citations: 37     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimalsPHPublic Health
    81. Aparicio JP, Pascual M. Building epidemiological models from R0: an implicit treatment of transmission in networks. Proc Biol Sci. 2007 Feb 22; 274(1609):505-12. PMID: 17476770; PMCID: PMC1766386.
      Citations: 21     Fields:    Translation:PHPublic Health
    82. Koelle K, Cobey S, Grenfell B, Pascual M. Epochal evolution shapes the phylodynamics of interpandemic influenza A (H3N2) in humans. Science. 2006 Dec 22; 314(5807):1898-903. PMID: 17185596.
      Citations: 225     Fields:    Translation:HumansCellsPHPublic Health
    83. Koelle K, Pascual M, Yunus M. Serotype cycles in cholera dynamics. Proc Biol Sci. 2006 Nov 22; 273(1603):2879-86. PMID: 17015366; PMCID: PMC1664638.
      Citations: 29     Fields:    Translation:HumansCells
    84. Peacor SD, Allesina S, Riolo RL, Pascual M. Phenotypic plasticity opposes species invasions by altering fitness surface. PLoS Biol. 2006 Oct; 4(11):e372. PMID: 17076585; PMCID: PMC1629039.
      Citations: 8     Fields:    Translation:Animals
    85. Koelle K, Rod? X, Pascual M, Yunus M, Mostafa G. Refractory periods and climate forcing in cholera dynamics. Nature. 2005 Aug 04; 436(7051):696-700. PMID: 16079845.
      Citations: 148     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    86. Pascual M. Computational ecology: from the complex to the simple and back. PLoS Comput Biol. 2005 Jul; 1(2):101-5. PMID: 16110332; PMCID: PMC1185644.
      Citations: 10     Fields:    
    87. Koelle K, Pascual M, Yunus M. Pathogen adaptation to seasonal forcing and climate change. Proc Biol Sci. 2005 May 07; 272(1566):971-7. PMID: 16024354; PMCID: PMC1564099.
      Citations: 46     Fields:    Translation:HumansCells
    88. Roy M, Pascual M, Levin SA. Competitive coexistence in a dynamic landscape. Theor Popul Biol. 2004 Dec; 66(4):341-53. PMID: 15560912.
      Citations: 1     Fields:    Translation:Animals
    89. Palmer M, Bernhardt E, Chornesky E, Collins S, Dobson A, Duke C, Gold B, Jacobson R, Kingsland S, Kranz R, Mappin M, Martinez ML, Micheli F, Morse J, Pace M, Pascual M, Palumbi S, Reichman OJ, Simons A, Townsend A, Turner M. Ecology. Ecology for a crowded planet. Science. 2004 May 28; 304(5675):1251-2. PMID: 15166349.
      Citations: 29     Fields:    Translation:HumansAnimals
    90. Rodo X, Pascual M, Fuchs G, Faruque AS. ENSO and cholera: a nonstationary link related to climate change? Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2002 Oct 01; 99(20):12901-6. PMID: 12228724; PMCID: PMC130557.
      Citations: 60     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    91. Pascual M, Roy M, Guichard F, Flierl G. Cluster size distributions: signatures of self-organization in spatial ecologies. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2002 May 29; 357(1421):657-66. PMID: 12079527; PMCID: PMC1692977.
      Citations: 12     Fields:    Translation:Animals
    92. Pascual M, Bouma MJ, Dobson AP. Cholera and climate: revisiting the quantitative evidence. Microbes Infect. 2002 Feb; 4(2):237-45. PMID: 11880057.
      Citations: 84     Fields:    Translation:Humans
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