Predicting the epidemic sizes of influenza A/H1N1, A/H3N2, and B: a statistical method.
Goldstein E, Cobey S, Takahashi S, Miller JC, Lipsitch M. Predicting the epidemic sizes of influenza A/H1N1, A/H3N2, and B: a statistical method. PLoS Med. 2011 Jul; 8(7):e1001051.